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#1152578 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 12.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 66.7W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT.......110NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT.......150NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. 34 KT.......210NE 200SE 150SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 390SE 300SW 375NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 66.7W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 66.5W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.1N 67.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. 34 KT...220NE 210SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.7N 67.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW. 34 KT...230NE 210SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.7N 68.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 50 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. 34 KT...230NE 220SE 180SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.1N 67.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 65SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW. 34 KT...250NE 240SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.0N 67.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 150NW. 34 KT...250NE 240SE 200SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.0N 66.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 150NW. 34 KT...270NE 250SE 210SW 250NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 44.0N 66.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 48.5N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 66.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 13/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |