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#1152603 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:42 AM 13.Sep.2023)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023
0900 UTC WED SEP 13 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 40.0W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 190SE 140SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 320SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 40.0W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 39.9W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.5N 40.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.6N 40.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.5N 39.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.9N 39.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.7N 39.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 36.5N 39.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 36.5N 42.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 38.0N 43.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 40.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART