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| #1152651 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 13.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 40.4W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......200NE 190SE 140SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..320NE 320SE 290SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 40.4W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 40.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 35.0N 40.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.0N 40.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.8N 39.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.9N 39.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 150SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.5N 39.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 36.3N 40.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 36.0N 42.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 38.0N 42.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 40.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ORRISON/BLAKE |
