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| #1152663 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:50 PM 13.Sep.2023) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Lee Intermediate Advisory Number 33A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132023 200 PM AST Wed Sep 13 2023 ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING LEE... ...RISK OF WIND, COASTAL FLOODING, AND RAIN IMPACTS INCREASING FOR PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AND ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.8N 67.5W ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSW OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1015 MI...1635 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Interests in the northeastern United States and Atlantic Canada should monitor the progress of Lee. Watches will likely be required for a portion of these areas later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located near latitude 26.8 North, longitude 67.5 West. Lee is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected by tonight, followed by an increase in speed on Thursday and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Lee will pass west of Bermuda Thursday and Thursday night and then approach the coast of New England or Atlantic Canada Friday and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days, however, Lee is likely to remain a large and dangerous hurricane into the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure based on dropsonde data from the Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is 952 mb (28.11 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lee can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in Bermuda starting early Thursday. SURF: Swells generated by Lee are affecting portions of the Lesser Antilles, the British and U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, and Bermuda. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Dangerous surf and rip currents are affecting portions of the southeastern and mid-Atlantic U.S. coast, and these conditions are forecast to spread northward across New England and Atlantic Canada later today. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Outer rain bands from Lee may produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, 25 to 50 millimeters, across Bermuda Thursday into early Friday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |
