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#1152791 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:02 PM 14.Sep.2023)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 68.3W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT.......140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT.......270NE 250SE 170SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..435NE 450SE 390SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 68.3W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 68.2W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.2N 68.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 250SE 180SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.0N 67.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 250SE 180SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.2N 66.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 41.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
34 KT...260NE 250SE 210SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 44.0N 66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 140SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.0N 63.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 52.6N 52.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 68.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 14/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN