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| #1152854 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 14.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 68.3W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 50 KT.......170NE 170SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT.......300NE 300SE 200SW 210NW. 12 FT SEAS..435NE 450SE 420SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 68.3W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 68.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.8N 67.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 50 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.0N 66.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 230NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.3N 66.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 43.3N 66.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 180SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 46.0N 65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 200SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 48.6N 61.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 53.7N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 68.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 15/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
