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#1152895 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 14.Sep.2023)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 67.6W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
50 KT.......170NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......300NE 300SE 200SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 450SE 420SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 67.6W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 67.8W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.0N 67.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
50 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 230NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.4N 66.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 230NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 41.6N 66.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 270SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 44.3N 66.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...220NE 250SE 180SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.0N 63.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 49.6N 59.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 54.5N 42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N 67.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 15/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH