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#1152960 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 15.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 66.7W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. 50 KT.......160NE 170SE 120SW 150NW. 34 KT.......270NE 270SE 240SW 300NW. 12 FT SEAS..440NE 480SE 580SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 66.7W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 66.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.5N 66.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. 34 KT...280NE 280SE 220SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 43.5N 66.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 250SE 220SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 46.2N 64.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 49.0N 60.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 51.7N 54.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 53.9N 47.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.9N 66.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 16/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |