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| #1153005 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 15.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 65.8W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. 50 KT.......160NE 170SE 120SW 150NW. 34 KT.......270NE 270SE 240SW 300NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 540SE 600SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 65.8W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 66.0W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 41.7N 66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. 50 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 225SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 44.5N 65.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 50NW. 34 KT...240NE 250SE 220SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.3N 63.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 50.6N 58.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 53.0N 50.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 54.3N 41.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 65.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 16/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY/BROWN |
