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| #1153320 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 17.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 0300 UTC MON SEP 18 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 50.2W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 70SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 180SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 50.2W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 49.9W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 27.0N 51.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 28.5N 52.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 30.1N 54.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.1N 55.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.4N 54.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 37.4N 52.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 43.1N 42.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 50.8N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 50.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY |
