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#1153797 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 21.Sep.2023)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023
1500 UTC THU SEP 21 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.2N 45.0W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.2N 45.0W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.3N 46.3W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 44.2N 38.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 47.3N 30.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 160SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 51.0N 24.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 210SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 55.2N 22.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 57.4N 24.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.2N 45.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH