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| #1157896 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 18.Oct.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023 2100 UTC WED OCT 18 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 51.7W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 51.7W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 51.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.1N 53.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 13.5N 55.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.1N 58.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.0N 60.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.9N 61.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 62.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 21.4N 63.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 26.1N 60.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 51.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
