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| #1157988 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:04 AM 19.Oct.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM TAMMY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023 1200 UTC THU OCT 19 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 55.1W AT 19/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 30SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 55.1W AT 19/1200Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 54.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 13.9N 56.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 50SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.5N 58.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.8N 61.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.4N 62.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.9N 63.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 23.3N 63.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 27.2N 59.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 55.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
