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| #1157995 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 19.Oct.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023 1500 UTC THU OCT 19 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 55.7W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......110NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 30SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 55.7W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 55.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.0N 57.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.8N 59.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 60.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 62.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 62.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.5N 63.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 24.0N 62.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 28.4N 57.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 55.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
