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#1158184 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 20.Oct.2023)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023
2100 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 59.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 30SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 90SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 59.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 58.9W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.3N 60.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.7N 61.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.1N 62.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.8N 63.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 63.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 24.5N 61.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 28.4N 57.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 59.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN