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| #1158215 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 20.Oct.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023 0300 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 60.2W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 30SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 240SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 60.2W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 59.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.8N 61.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.3N 62.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.8N 63.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N 63.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.4N 64.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.4N 64.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 24.0N 62.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 27.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 60.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
