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#1158419 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 22.Oct.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023 1500 UTC SUN OCT 22 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 63.0W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 60SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 63.0W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 62.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.1N 63.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.4N 63.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.3N 63.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.0N 62.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.6N 62.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 27.5N 60.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 30.0N 63.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 63.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |