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| #11585 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 08.Oct.2004) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT FRI OCT 08 2004 ...TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST... TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF COAST EARLY SATURDAY. INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. MATTHEW IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. STRONG WINDS NEAR THE LOUISIANA COAST ARE NOT DIRECTLY RELATED TO MATTHEW...BUT ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN MATTHEW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. COASTAL FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN SOME AREAS WITH ONSHORE FLOW. A LARGE AREA OF RAINFALL EXTENDS FROM MATTHEW NORTHEASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...24.7 N... 93.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
