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#1158523 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 23.Oct.2023)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023
0900 UTC MON OCT 23 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 64.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 110SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 64.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 64.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.2N 63.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.2N 62.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.1N 61.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.1N 60.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 55SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 26.5N 59.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 100SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 28.0N 58.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...210NE 140SE 130SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 30.4N 59.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 32.0N 62.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN