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#1159129 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 27.Oct.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023 1500 UTC FRI OCT 27 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 61.1W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 20SE 20SW 80NW. 34 KT.......140NE 80SE 80SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 760SW 250NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 61.1W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 61.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 32.4N 61.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 32.7N 59.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 32.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.7N 51.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 27.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 61.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |