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| #11671 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 09.Oct.2004) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SAT OCT 09 2004 ....MATTHEW REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. MATTHEW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM WILL REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF MATTHEW. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...27.3 N... 91.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
