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| #11697 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 09.Oct.2004) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT SAT OCT 09 2004 ...MATTHEW RETURNS TO A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY HEADING... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. MATTHEW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. AN ERRATIC BUT GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MATTHEW IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF MATTHEW. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.7 N... 91.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
