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| #11759 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:19 AM 10.Oct.2004) TCMAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152004 0900Z SUN OCT 10 2004 ..CORRECTION TO AWIPS AND WMO HEADERS...END WITH 5 INSTEAD OF 1... A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 66.0W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......300NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 200SE 200SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 66.0W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 65.8W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 33.5N 66.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. 34 KT...300NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 39.0N 63.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. 34 KT...300NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 41.5N 63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 95NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 43.5N 63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 49.0N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 52.0N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 66.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
