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| #11885 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 11.Oct.2004) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152004 1500Z MON OCT 11 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 61.3W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 150SW 225NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 250NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 61.3W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 62.0W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 39.4N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 225NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 41.0N 63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 42.0N 63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 44.0N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 48.0N 59.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N 61.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH |
