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| #1191584 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 AM 02.Aug.2024) TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024 1500 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 76.6W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 76.6W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 75.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.7N 78.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.3N 80.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.1N 82.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.2N 83.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 29.2N 82.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 30.7N 81.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 32.0N 80.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 33.6N 77.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 76.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 02/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
