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#1191674 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 PM 02.Aug.2024)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024
0300 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 79.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 79.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 79.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.6N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.6N 83.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.6N 84.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 28.4N 84.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.9N 83.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.8N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 31.8N 80.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 32.8N 79.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 79.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 03/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG