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#1191753 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 AM 03.Aug.2024)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024
1500 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 82.0W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 82.0W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 81.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.3N 83.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.3N 84.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 28.2N 84.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.8N 83.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.7N 83.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 31.4N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 60SE 20SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 31.5N 80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 40SW 20NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 82.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 03/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN