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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
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#1192320 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 05.Aug.2024)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024
0300 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 82.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 82.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 82.4W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 31.6N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 31.8N 80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.9N 79.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.4N 79.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.0N 79.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.8N 79.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 36.3N 78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 40.2N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 82.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 06/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN