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| #1194394 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 18.Aug.2024) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 1100 AM AST Sun Aug 18 2024 ...ERNESTO FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN TODAY... ...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST AND ATLANTIC CANADA TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.1N 62.5W ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 880 MI...1410 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was located near latitude 36.1 North, longitude 62.5 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h) and some increase in forward speed is forecast today, followed by a turn toward the northeast and east-northeast on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will pass near southeastern Newfoundland late Monday into Tuesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible today and Ernesto is forecast to regain hurricane status. The cyclone is forecast to become post-tropical after it passes by southeastern Newfoundland by Tuesday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days. In southeastern Newfoundland large breaking waves could bring the possibility of coastal flooding, particularly along southwest-facing shorelines from Burin east to Avalon regions. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin |
