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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
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#1194436 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 18.Aug.2024)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024
2100 UTC SUN AUG 18 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 62.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 190SE 110SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 180SW 230NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 62.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 62.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.2N 60.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 42.6N 57.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE 130SW 65NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.1N 50.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 170SE 150SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 48.9N 41.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 170SE 170SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 51.0N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 170SE 110SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.1N 62.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN