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| #1197365 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 09.Sep.2024) TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024 0900 UTC MON SEP 09 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 94.8W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 120SE 140SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 94.8W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 94.7W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 95.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 100SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.1N 95.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.2N 95.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.8N 94.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N 93.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.7N 91.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 34.9N 90.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 37.5N 89.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 94.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
