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#1199891 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 24.Sep.2024)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024
2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 84.7W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 84.7W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 84.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.4N 86.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.7N 86.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.7N 86.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.0N 84.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 55SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.5N 84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.5N 84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 38.2N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 84.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 25/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG