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Clean up and rescue operations in the wake of major hurricanes Milton and Helene continue. No new threatening storms on the immediate horizon.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 6 (Milton) , Major: 6 (Milton) Florida - Any: 6 (Milton) Major: 6 (Milton)
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#1201914 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 05.Oct.2024)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 95.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 95.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 95.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.9N 95.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N 94.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N 92.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 23.1N 91.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.8N 89.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.8N 87.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 27.7N 83.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 30.4N 77.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 180SW 190NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 95.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN