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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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#1202045 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 06.Oct.2024)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
1500 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 94.4W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 20SE 10SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 94.4W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 94.8W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.2N 93.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 15SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 10NE 25SE 20SW 10NW.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N 92.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 20SE 20SW 10NW.
50 KT... 15NE 30SE 25SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N 90.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.5N 88.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.7N 86.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 45SE 45SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.5N 84.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 29.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 31.0N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 140SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 94.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 06/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE