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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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#1202244 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 07.Oct.2024)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
1500 UTC MON OCT 07 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 91.7W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 210SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 91.7W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 92.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.5N 90.4W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 45SE 45SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.2N 88.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.6N 86.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 35SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 55SE 55SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 84.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.7N 82.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.2N 80.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 30SE 60SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 160SE 120SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 30.8N 71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 160SW 160NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 31.0N 66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 90SE 210SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 91.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 07/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE