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#130829 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 09.May.2007) TCMAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007 0300 UTC THU MAY 10 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 79.8W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 90SE 0SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 79.8W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 79.7W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 30.4N 80.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N 80.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.5N 80.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.5N 80.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N 80.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 79.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |