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| #134031 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 02.Jun.2007) TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022007 1100 AM EDT SAT JUN 02 2007 SATELLITE IMAGERY...RADAR...SURFACE DATA AND INFORMATION FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF BARRY HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND HAS REACHED THE FLORIDA WEST COAST IN THE VICINITY OF THE TAMPA BAY. THE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER HAVE DIMINISHED TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. BARRY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY AFTER CROSSING FLORIDA GIVEN THE CURRENT STRUCTURE AND THE WIND SHEAR. THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSFORMATION HAS BEEN SUGGESTED BY MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW SHOULD INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. NOTE: TWO TROPICAL STORMS MAKE LANDFALL THIS MORNING WITHIN ABOUT ONE HOUR...BARRY NEAR TAMPA BAY AND BARBARA NEAR THE BORDER OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 28.0N 82.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 03/0000Z 30.5N 81.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 03/1200Z 33.5N 79.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 04/0000Z 36.0N 76.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 04/1200Z 39.5N 73.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 05/1200Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW $$ FORECASTER AVILA/PROENZA |
