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| #146106 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:46 AM 15.Aug.2007) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 1030 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS TROPICAL STORM ERIN IN THE GULF OF MEXICO... AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM FREEPORT SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1030 AM CDT...1530Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 295 MILES...480 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO. ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERIN IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE LOWER OR MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME RAINBANDS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE TEXAS COAST. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1030 AM CDT POSITION...25.6 N...93.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1230 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 330 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
