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| #146148 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 15.Aug.2007) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 400 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007 ...RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIN ALREADY AFFECTING THE TEXAS COAST... AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TEXAS COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHEASTWARD TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM SAN LUIS PASS SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES...315 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 210 MILES...335 KM...SOUTH OF GALVESTON TEXAS. ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING ERIN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE EXPERIENCED IN ISOLATED COASTAL LOCATION TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.3 N...94.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
