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| #147404 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 AM 22.Aug.2007) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 400 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2007 ...DEAN SLOWLY RE-ORGANIZING OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL LATER TODAY... AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO TO LA CRUZ. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF CAMPECHE WESTWARD TO LA CRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA CRUZ TO BAHIA ALGODONES. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES... 190 KM...NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM ...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO. DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF DEAN ACROSS THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NOAA BUOY 42055 RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 57 MPH...91 KM/HR...AND A GUST OF 65 MPH...104 KM/HR. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...20.3 N...94.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN |
