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| #147453 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:55 PM 22.Aug.2007) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 100 PM CDT WED AUG 22 2007 ...DEAN INLAND OVER MEXICO AND BEGINNING TO WEAKEN... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA CRUZ TO BAHIA ALGODONES. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST OR VERY NEAR POZA RICA MEXICO. DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 19 MPH...31 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED UNTIL DEAN DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MADE LANDFALL. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...20.5 N...97.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 19 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI |
