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| #147539 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 22.Aug.2007) TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 1100 PM EDT WED AUG 22 2007 THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO HAS TAKEN ITS TOLL ON DEAN. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING AND IS BECOMING A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 17 KNOTS ACROSS MEXICO BUT STILL PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS. ANY REMNANT CIRCULATION OF THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO. THE MID-LEVEL CENTER APPEARS TO BE MOVING WESTWARD A LITTLE FASTER...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED IN CASE REGENERATION OCCURS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON WHAT WAS ONCE CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE DEAN. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 20.5N 100.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 23/1200Z 20.5N 103.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
