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| #149108 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 02.Sep.2007) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 1500 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 70.1W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 40SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 40SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 70.1W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 69.3W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.7N 72.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.4N 76.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.1N 79.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.8N 82.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.0N 87.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 75SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N 90.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N 94.0W...GULF OF MEXICO MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 70.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
