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| #149157 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 02.Sep.2007) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND CAYMAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 72.0W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 40SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 72.0W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 71.2W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.1N 74.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.8N 78.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.4N 81.1W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.0N 83.5W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.3N 87.7W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 19.5N 91.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N 95.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 72.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
