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| #149233 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 03.Sep.2007) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 0900 UTC MON SEP 03 2007 AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM LIMON HONDURAS EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND CAYMAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 75.9W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 929 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 75.9W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 74.9W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.5N 78.7W MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.0N 81.9W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.5N 84.8W...INLAND OVER HONDURAS MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.9N 87.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.5N 91.5W...INLAND SOUTHERN YUCATAN MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 19.0N 95.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 98.5W...INLAND MAINLAND MEXICO MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 75.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
