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| #149347 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 03.Sep.2007) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA. AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 81.1W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 81.1W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 80.4W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.6N 83.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.1N 85.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.7N 88.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.4N 90.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.0N 94.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 81.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
