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| #149353 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:00 AM 04.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 200 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE FELIX STRENGTHENING...ONLY A FEW HOURS FROM LANDFALL... ...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ALONG THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... 165 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER. FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF FELIX IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE BORDER BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS IN A FEW HOURS. REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR WHILE THE CENTER OF FELIX REMAINS OVER WATER...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT FELIX COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE STATUS PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL IN A FEW HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...81.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
