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| #149401 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 04.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007 ...FELIX MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT LOOMS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND OVER HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST WILL DIMINISH TODAY. FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...83.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
