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| #149483 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 04.Sep.2007) TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 04 2007 FELIX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER LAND. THE CENTER HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED...WITH THE SITUATION BEING COMPLICATED BY THE UPPER-LEVEL PORTION OF THE STORM POSSIBLY MOVING ON A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK THAN THE LOW-LEVEL PORTION. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 265/10. FELIX SHOULD CONTINUE A GENERAL WESTERLY MOTION UNTIL THE CENTER DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA IN 24-36 HR. THE MAJOR CONCERN IS NOW THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION ENHANCED BY THE STEEP TOPOGRAPHY OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE RESULTING FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS AS HIGH AS 25 INCHES. THEREFORE...PERSONS LOCATED IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 14.1N 85.7W 45 KT 12HR VT 05/1200Z 14.1N 87.1W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 06/0000Z 14.3N 89.0W 20 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 06/1200Z...INLAND $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
