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#149864 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 08.Sep.2007)
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO
OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 73.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 73.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 73.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.8N 74.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N 76.2W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N 76.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 38.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 41.0N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 45.0N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 73.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA